Aurélie Glerum research projects

This page reports only the academic work registered in the databases of the Transport and Mobility Laboratory, and is not necessarily a comprehensive list of the work by Aurélie Glerum.

More information may be available here

A DYNAMIC VEHICLE CHOICE FORECASTING FRAMEWORK

Sponsor: PSA Peugeot-Citroën

Team: Michel Bierlaire (PI), Amanda Stathopoulos (PM), Aurélie Glerum

Period: April 01, 2012-April 30, 2013

The aim of this research project is to develop a dynamic model framework to forecast car demand. The model-system jointly accounts for behavioural variables (e.g. household evolution, individual motivations), institutional factors (e.g. incentives and taxation) and market features (e.g. new fuel or vehicle technology launches) to forecast vehicle acquisition. The project benefits from a large-scale, longitudinal dataset on vehicle transactions from major European markets. Methodologically the framework consists of a system of aggregate, disaggregate and duration-based choice models, accounting for dynamic features of the decision at each stage. Importantly, the proposed dynamic framework enhances realism by representing the durability of possession, rapid changes in value across product and ownership cycles and uncertainty about future market developments and institutional factors. The proposed framework sheds light on the timing and type of vehicle ownership, illustrating the benefits of taking the first steps away from a static approach. The findings will aid the prediction of consumer behaviour in response to critical policy variables, such as incentives, alongside market dynamics, such as the appearance and diffusion of novel technologies. A deeper understanding of future vehicle choice behaviour is critical given sizable institutional and industrial investments to promote alternative vehicle technologies with a final aim to improve energy efficiency in the transportation sector. More information http://transport.epfl.ch/car-market-structure

Demande de consommateurs pour des véhicules électriques

Sponsor: Renault Suisse SA

Team: Michel Bierlaire (PI), Michaël Thémans (PM), Aurélie Glerum

Period: August 01, 2010-April 30, 2011

Evaluation de la demande des consommateurs pour des véhicules électriques en vue du lancement d'une telle gamme par Renault

OPTIMA: Inferring transport mode preferences from attitudes

Sponsor: LaPoste

Team: Michel Bierlaire (PI), Anne Curchod (PM), Aurélie Glerum, Bilge Atasoy, Antonin Danalet

Period: February 01, 2009-June 30, 2012

Swiss Post and PostBus have launched a research project to optimize mobility in cooperation with the Federal Institute of Technology in Lausanne (EPFL), represented by EPFL Transportation Center, under Professor Michel Bierlaire. This will show the market potential for combined mobility. Among other things it will look at the factors that influence travellers in their choice of transport. At a later stage, target group-specific new transport offerings and services will be developed and tested, which will have a lasting influence on this choice. The three years research project is conducted by Professors Vincent Kaufmann (LASUR) and Michel Bierlaire (TRANSP-OR).